Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson

Dec 13, 2025 · ESPN+

DateDec 13, 2025

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueUFC APEX

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, December 13, 2025 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 10:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 7:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 3:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 4:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 2:00 PM
Your time

Amanda LemosAmandinha |15-7-1Amanda Lemos vs Gillian RobertsonGillian RobertsonThe Savage |17-9-0

Amanda LemosAmandinha15-7-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

15-7-1Record17-9-0

39Age31

5'4"Height5'5"

65"Reach 63"

115 lbsWeight115 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Gillian RobertsonThe Savage17-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Gillian Robertson owns a 25-point Elo edge (good). Gillian Robertson shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 3 shared opponents give extra context.

Compare Amanda Lemos and Gillian Robertson across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Amanda LemosGillian Robertson

Recent form

Amanda LemosL L L W L · -46 Elo last 5

LLLWL

Gillian RobertsonL W W W W · +48 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Amanda Lemos1670-14 last move

Gillian Robertson1695-16 last move

Why they are ranked here

Amanda Lemos#19 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1670 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Marina Rodriguez (rated 1750 at the time): +22.
Costliest loss: Lost to Jéssica Andrade (rated 1706 at the time): -19.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -46 Elo in total.
Next places: 9 points behind #18 Tina Black, 2 ahead of #20 Talita Alencar.

Gillian Robertson#11 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1695 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Piera Rodriguez (rated 1705 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Mackenzie Dern (rated 1719 at the time): -16.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +48 Elo in total.
Next places: 8 points behind #10 Jaqueline Amorim, 2 ahead of #12 Carol Foro.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Amanda LemosNow 1670 · #19 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1687

Loses by decision-15→ 1655

Gillian RobertsonNow 1695 · #11 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1706

Loses by decision-13→ 1682

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Amanda LemosvsGillian Robertson

Takedown accuracy

6%vs41%

Takedown average

1.02vs2.76

Takedown defense

63%vs39%

Sig. strike defense

45%vs56%

Finishing profile

Amanda LemosKO/TKO leads 53% of wins

Gillian Robertsonsubmission leads 53% of wins

Common opponents

Mackenzie Dern Amanda Lemos: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 17, 2024 Gillian Robertson: loss · Decision (Unanimous) · Aug 15, 2026

Marina Rodriguez Amanda Lemos: win · TKO (punches) · Nov 5, 2022 Gillian Robertson: win · TKO (punches) · May 3, 2025

Michelle Waterson-Gomez Amanda Lemos: win · Submission (Guillotine Choke) · Jul 16, 2022 Gillian Robertson: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Jun 29, 2024

Tale of the tape

Amanda LemosGillian Robertson

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.75Sig. strikes landed per min2.71

UFC strawweight average : 4.15

55Sig. strike accuracy48

UFC strawweight average : 45%

3.01Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.86

UFC strawweight average : 4.11

45Sig. strike defense56

UFC strawweight average : 54%

1.02Takedown average2.76

UFC strawweight average : 1.37

6Takedown accuracy41

UFC strawweight average : 32%

63Takedown defense39

UFC strawweight average : 59%

0.74Submission average0.87

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

8Wins by knockout3

3Wins by submission9

4Wins by decision5

1Losses by knockout1

2Losses by submission1

4Losses by decision7

Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : ROYVAL VS KAPE. Amanda Lemos enters with a 15-7-1 record and Gillian Robertson enters with a 17-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.