Amanda Nunes vs Kayla Harrison
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-5-0Record19-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"Reach66″
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Amanda Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Kayla Harrison carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1810
If they lose-17→ 1778
If they win+17→ 1795
If they lose-15→ 1763
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda NunesKayla Harrison
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayla Harrison64%
Amanda Nunes 36%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayla Harrison a 64% favorite over Amanda Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amanda Nunes's way (48%).
Amanda Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1778, a 17-point edge.
Amanda Nunes enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Kayla Harrison enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Amanda Nunes finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kayla Harrison 74%.
Amanda Nunes and Kayla Harrison share 2 common opponents: Julianna Peña and Holly Holm.
Amanda Nunes carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.