Amanda Ribas vs Katlyn Cerminara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'9"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Marcelo Ribas TeamTeamTeam Renzo Gracie
What's at stake
Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Amanda Ribas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1604
If they win+9→ 1722
If they lose-15→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Amanda RibasKatlyn Cerminara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Katlyn Cerminara70%
Amanda Ribas 30%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 70% favorite over Amanda Ribas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1616, a 97-point edge.
Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Amanda Ribas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.
Amanda Ribas and Katlyn Cerminara share 2 common opponents: Maycee Barber and Viviane Araujo.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.