Amirkhan Adaev vs Renan Oliveira
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Amirkhan Adaev65%
Renan Oliveira 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Amirkhan Adaev a 65% favorite over Renan Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Renan Oliveira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1687), separated by just 2 points.
Renan Oliveira enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Amirkhan Adaev finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Renan Oliveira 27%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record15-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
-Reach-
157 lbsWeight154 lbs
Berkut FC· 1632 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTropa Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1697
If they lose-12→ 1673
If they win+16→ 1703
If they lose-16→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Amirkhan AdaevRenan Oliveira