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Combat Edge Intelligence

Amru Magomedov vs Renato Moicano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71"Reach72″
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1729 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamFirst Fight Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amru MagomedovNow 1744
If they win+16→ 1760
If they lose-16→ 1728
Renato MoicanoNow 1743
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.68
Not available
Takedown accuracy
12%
Not available
Takedown defense
64%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Amru MagomedovRenato Moicano
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
5 (45%)
Submission
11 (52%)
2 (18%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Renato Moicano57%
Amru Magomedov 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 57% favorite over Amru Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amru Magomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1744 vs 1743), separated by just 1 points.

Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Amru Magomedov finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.