Combat Edge Intelligence

Amru Magomedov vs Tommy Gantt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record12-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
71"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov SchoolTeamJaw Breaker Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amru MagomedovNow 1723
If they win+16→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1707
Tommy GanttNow 1720
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
100%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.36
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
10.78
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
5.39

Trajectory

Amru MagomedovTommy Gantt
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
5 (50%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Amru Magomedov51%
Tommy Gantt 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Amru Magomedov a 51% favorite over Tommy Gantt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1720), separated by just 3 points.

Amru Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Tommy Gantt enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Amru Magomedov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Gantt 92%.

Tommy Gantt carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.