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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ananias Mulumba vs Clay Collard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record25-13-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
70.5"Reach73.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elite Training Center· 1640 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFour7 Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ananias MulumbaNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Clay CollardNow 1628
If they win+12→ 1640
If they lose-12→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.22
Not available
Strike accuracy
32%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.81
Not available
Takedown accuracy
39%
Not available
Takedown defense
71%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Ananias MulumbaClay Collard
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (48%)
5 (50%)
Submission
3 (12%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Clay Collard61%
Ananias Mulumba 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Clay Collard a 61% favorite over Ananias Mulumba in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.

Clay Collard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ananias Mulumba finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Clay Collard 60%.

Clay Collard carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.