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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ananias Mulumba vs Keisuke Sasu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record14-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70.5"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elite Training Center· 1640 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMaster Japan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ananias MulumbaNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Keisuke SasuNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-16→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.76
Not available
Strike accuracy
49%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.76
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
Not available
Takedown defense
62%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.88

Trajectory

Ananias MulumbaKeisuke Sasu
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
5 (50%)
Submission
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Keisuke Sasu62%
Ananias Mulumba 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Keisuke Sasu a 62% favorite over Ananias Mulumba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ananias Mulumba's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1624), separated by just 2 points.

Keisuke Sasu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ananias Mulumba finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Keisuke Sasu 64%.

Ananias Mulumba carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.