Anastasia Nikolakakos vs Joshua Pacio
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Pacio80%
Anastasia Nikolakakos 20%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Pacio a 80% favorite over Anastasia Nikolakakos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Joshua Pacio holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1667, a 57-point edge.
Anastasia Nikolakakos enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Anastasia Nikolakakos finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Pacio 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
7-0-0Record24-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'0"Height5'4"
60"Reach-
114 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Joshua Pacio is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Anastasia Nikolakakos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+28→ 1695
If they lose-20→ 1647
If they win+10→ 1734
If they lose-14→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1617 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anastasia NikolakakosJoshua Pacio