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Combat Edge Intelligence

Anatolij Baal vs Antonio Fofirca

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Anatolij Baal
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Anatolij Baal

“Siberian Tiger”

10-5-1LightweightOKMMA

1547Average

Tale of the tape

10-5-1Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1574 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamThe Black Panther Gym

What's at stake

Antonio Fofirca is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Anatolij Baal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Anatolij BaalNow 1547
If they win+17→ 1564
If they lose-15→ 1532
Antonio FofircaNow 1566
If they win+23→ 1589
If they lose-25→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Anatolij BaalAntonio Fofirca
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
2 (20%)
Submission
1 (25%)
2 (20%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Antonio Fofirca52%
Anatolij Baal 48%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Antonio Fofirca a 52% favorite over Anatolij Baal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Antonio Fofirca holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1566 to 1547, a 19-point edge.

Anatolij Baal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Anatolij Baal finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Antonio Fofirca 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.