AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Anderson dos Santos vs Nicolas Mandiola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

25-13-0Record5-1-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
70,0"ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight134 lbs
Babuino Gold Team· 1559 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKiltros Crew

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Anderson dos SantosNow 1589
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577
Nicolas MandiolaNow 1589
If they win+24→ 1613
If they lose-24→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.70
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
26%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
0.98
Takedown avg.
Not available
14%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.65
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Anderson dos SantosNicolas Mandiola
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
14 (56%)
Submission
3 (60%)
6 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Anderson dos Santos53%
Nicolas Mandiola 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Anderson dos Santos a 53% favorite over Nicolas Mandiola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.

Anderson dos Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nicolas Mandiola enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Anderson dos Santos finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Nicolas Mandiola 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.