Anderson Silva vs Dan Henderson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record32-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1587 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
Dan Henderson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anderson Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1721
If they lose-11→ 1697
If they win+11→ 1750
If they lose-13→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1738 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaDan Henderson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Anderson Silva53%
Dan Henderson 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Anderson Silva a 53% favorite over Dan Henderson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Henderson's way (46%).
Dan Henderson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1708, a 31-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Dan Henderson 56%.
Anderson Silva and Dan Henderson share 2 common opponents: Daniel Cormier and Michael Bisping.
Anderson Silva carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.