Anderson Silva vs Derek Brunson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record24-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"Reach77,0"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Derek Brunson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Anderson Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1731
If they lose-11→ 1707
If they win+11→ 1766
If they lose-13→ 1742
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaDerek Brunson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Derek Brunson78%
Anderson Silva 22%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Derek Brunson a 78% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Derek Brunson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1755 to 1718, a 37-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Derek Brunson 67%.
Anderson Silva and Derek Brunson share 2 common opponents: Jared Cannonier and Israel Adesanya.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.