Anderson Silva vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record18-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team NogueiraTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1730
If they lose-12→ 1706
If they win+17→ 1724
If they lose-15→ 1692
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1758 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Cannonier70%
Anderson Silva 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 70% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anderson Silva's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1718 vs 1707), separated by just 11 points.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Anderson Silva and Jared Cannonier share 2 common opponents: Israel Adesanya and Derek Brunson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.