Anderson Silva vs Jared Cannonier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
77"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Anderson Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jared Cannonier carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1729
If they lose-13→ 1705
If they win+17→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaJared Cannonier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jared Cannonier70%
Anderson Silva 30%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Jared Cannonier a 70% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anderson Silva's way (46%).
Anderson Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1693, a 25-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.
Anderson Silva and Jared Cannonier share 2 common opponents: Israel Adesanya and Derek Brunson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.