André Lima vs Daniel Barez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-1-0Record17-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67″Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1652 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
André Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Daniel Barez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1743
If they lose-22→ 1711
If they win+22→ 1615
If they lose-10→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
André LimaDaniel Barez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
André Lima81%
Daniel Barez 19%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 81% favorite over Daniel Barez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
André Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1593, a 140-point edge.
Daniel Barez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
André Lima finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Barez 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.