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Combat Edge Intelligence

André Lima vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67″Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1646 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamEagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André LimaNow 1732
If they win+17→ 1749
If they lose-15→ 1717
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1744
If they win+15→ 1759
If they lose-17→ 1727

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
57%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.11
Takedown avg.
2.94
10%
Takedown accuracy
39%
76%
Takedown defense
62%
0.93
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

André LimaTagir Ulanbekov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
2 (18%)
Submission
8 (47%)
4 (36%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tagir Ulanbekov51%
André Lima 49%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Ulanbekov a 51% favorite over André Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1744), separated by just 12 points.

André Lima finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Tagir Ulanbekov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.