André Muniz vs Nikolay Aleksakhin
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
André Muniz58%
Nikolay Aleksakhin 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes André Muniz a 58% favorite over Nikolay Aleksakhin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1705), separated by just 2 points.
André Muniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
André Muniz finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Aleksakhin 62%.
André Muniz carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
24-8-0Record26-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
78"Reach70"
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
André MunizNikolay Aleksakhin