Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Fili vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andre Fili
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Andre Fili

“Touchy”

25-14-0FeatherweightUFC

1636Solid

Tale of the tape

25-14-0Record24-20-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Andre Fili is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Michael Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andre FiliNow 1636
If they win+11→ 1647
If they lose-13→ 1623
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+13→ 1626
If they lose-11→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.88
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
38%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
51%
Strike defense
59%
2.32
Takedown avg.
0.58
47%
Takedown accuracy
39%
72%
Takedown defense
81%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Andre FiliMichael Johnson
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
3 (12%)
Submission
2 (8%)
12 (48%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andre Fili and Michael Johnson within a point of even.

Andre Fili holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1613, a 23-point edge.

Andre Fili enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andre Fili finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.