Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Jackson McVey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record8-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
73"Reach77"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSt. Charles MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre PetroskiNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Jackson McVeyNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
6.51
49%
Strike accuracy
69%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.37
53%
Strike defense
24%
3.15
Takedown avg.
0
52%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
0%
1.28
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiJackson McVey
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (31%)
Submission
4 (50%)
5 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jackson McVey76%
Andre Petroski 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jackson McVey a 76% favorite over Andre Petroski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Petroski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jackson McVey enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jackson McVey 100%.

Jackson McVey carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.