Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Petroski vs Yousri Belgaroui

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record10-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'5"
73"Reach79"
186 lbsWeight190 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre PetroskiNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Yousri BelgarouiNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1652 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.81
Sig. strikes / min
6.10
49%
Strike accuracy
64%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
53%
Strike defense
64%
3.15
Takedown avg.
0.29
52%
Takedown accuracy
100%
86%
Takedown defense
67%
1.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andre PetroskiYousri Belgaroui
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
8 (80%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (38%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Yousri Belgaroui57%
Andre Petroski 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yousri Belgaroui a 57% favorite over Andre Petroski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andre Petroski's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.

Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Yousri Belgaroui enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Andre Petroski finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Yousri Belgaroui 80%.

Yousri Belgaroui carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.