Combat Edge Intelligence

Andre Roberts vs Justin Frazier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Andre Roberts
us

Andre Roberts

“The Chief”

14-2-1Super HeavyweightWEC

1625Solid
Justin Frazier
us

Justin Frazier

“The Grizzly Bear”

11-3-0Super HeavyweightPFMMA

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

14-2-1Record11-3-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
345 lbsWeight281 lbs
TBDTeamWithout Limits MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andre RobertsNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Justin FrazierNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.11
TBD
Strike accuracy
67%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.11
TBD
Strike defense
4%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andre RobertsJustin Frazier
160016502004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (38%)
Submission
3 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Andre Roberts59%
Justin Frazier 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Andre Roberts a 59% favorite over Justin Frazier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1616), separated by just 9 points.

Andre Roberts finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Frazier 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.