Andre Roberts vs Mac Papalii
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-1Record2-0-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
345 lbsWeight273 lbs
TeamBattle Box· 1575 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Andre Roberts is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mac Papalii carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1638
If they lose-19→ 1606
If they win+29→ 1584
If they lose-19→ 1536
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andre RobertsMac Papalii
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andre Roberts54%
Mac Papalii 46%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Andre Roberts a 54% favorite over Mac Papalii in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Andre Roberts holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1555, a 70-point edge.
Mac Papalii enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Andre Roberts finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.