Andrea Kabali vs Hacran Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record29-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'8"
-Reach69"
169 lbsWeight162 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
If they win+12→ 1574
If they lose-12→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1499 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrea KabaliHacran Dias
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hacran Dias60%
Andrea Kabali 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hacran Dias a 60% favorite over Andrea Kabali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.
Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Hacran Dias 48%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.