Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs Nico Musoke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-Reach75.00
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
Black Wolf Kombat AcademyTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Nico MusokeNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1498 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.16
TBD
Takedown accuracy
19%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.19

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliNico Musoke
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (31%)
1 (25%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrea Kabali53%
Nico Musoke 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Kabali a 53% favorite over Nico Musoke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1561), separated by just 0 points.

Nico Musoke enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nico Musoke 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.