Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Lee vs Borena Tsertsvadze

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andrea Lee
us

Andrea Lee

“KGB”

13-11-0FlyweightUFC

1578Solid

Tale of the tape

13-11-0Record6-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'4"
69"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight132 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea LeeNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Borena TsertsvadzeNow 1579
If they win+24→ 1603
If they lose-24→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
47%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
1.70
Takedown avg.
TBD
55%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
55%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.57
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andrea LeeBorena Tsertsvadze
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
5 (38%)
Submission
1 (17%)
5 (38%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Borena Tsertsvadze61%
Andrea Lee 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Borena Tsertsvadze a 61% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1579), separated by just 1 points.

Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Borena Tsertsvadze enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Borena Tsertsvadze 83%.

Andrea Lee carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.