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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Lee vs Lauren Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Andrea Lee
us

Andrea Lee

“KGB”

13-11-0FlyweightUFC

1577Solid

Tale of the tape

13-11-0Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs

What's at stake

Lauren Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Andrea Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrea LeeNow 1577
If they win+19→ 1596
If they lose-13→ 1564
Lauren MurphyNow 1651
If they win+13→ 1664
If they lose-19→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
47%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.25
63%
Strike defense
55%
1.70
Takedown avg.
1.03
55%
Takedown accuracy
25%
55%
Takedown defense
70%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Andrea LeeLauren Murphy
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
5 (38%)
Submission
1 (6%)
5 (38%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Andrea Lee and Lauren Murphy within a point of even.

Lauren Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1577, a 74-point edge.

Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.

Andrea Lee and Lauren Murphy share 1 common opponent: Roxanne Modafferi.

Andrea Lee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Roxanne Modafferi
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020