Andrea Lee vs Lauren Murphy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamGracie Barra Katy
What's at stake
Lauren Murphy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Andrea Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1597
If they lose-13→ 1565
If they win+13→ 1665
If they lose-19→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeLauren Murphy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lauren Murphy66%
Andrea Lee 34%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Lauren Murphy a 66% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Lauren Murphy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1578, a 74-point edge.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.
Andrea Lee and Lauren Murphy share 1 common opponent: Roxanne Modafferi.
Andrea Lee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.