Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Lee vs Melissa Gatto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andrea Lee
us

Andrea Lee

“KGB”

13-11-0FlyweightUFC

1578Solid

Tale of the tape

13-11-0Record9-3-2
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamMSP

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea LeeNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
47%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
63%
Strike defense
54%
1.70
Takedown avg.
1.47
55%
Takedown accuracy
29%
55%
Takedown defense
64%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Andrea LeeMelissa Gatto
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
5 (38%)
Submission
4 (44%)
5 (38%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto63%
Andrea Lee 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 63% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrea Lee's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1571), separated by just 7 points.

Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.