Andrea Lee vs Natália Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record20-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Natália Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andrea Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1601
If they lose-9→ 1569
If they win+9→ 1755
If they lose-23→ 1723
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeNatália Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natália Silva92%
Andrea Lee 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Natália Silva a 92% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Natália Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1578, a 168-point edge.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Natália Silva 63%.
Andrea Lee and Natália Silva share 1 common opponent: Viviane Araujo.
Andrea Lee carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.