Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Lee vs Viviane Araujo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Andrea Lee
us

Andrea Lee

“KGB”

13-11-0FlyweightUFC

1577Solid

Tale of the tape

13-11-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamCerrado MMA

What's at stake

Viviane Araujo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Andrea Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrea LeeNow 1577
If they win+18→ 1595
If they lose-14→ 1563
Viviane AraujoNow 1621
If they win+14→ 1635
If they lose-18→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.71
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
47%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.83
63%
Strike defense
56%
1.70
Takedown avg.
1.72
55%
Takedown accuracy
43%
55%
Takedown defense
75%
0.57
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Andrea LeeViviane Araujo
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (23%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
5 (38%)
Submission
4 (29%)
5 (38%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Viviane Araujo84%
Andrea Lee 16%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Viviane Araujo a 84% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Viviane Araujo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1577, a 44-point edge.

Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Viviane Araujo 50%.

Andrea Lee and Viviane Araujo share 2 common opponents: Natália Silva and Roxanne Modafferi.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Natália Silva
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Roxanne Modafferi
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021