Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Gustafsson vs Ben Saunders

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record23-13-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'3"
73"Reach45,0"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamAmerican Top Team Orlando

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas GustafssonNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Ben SaundersNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.82
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
72%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
46%
Strike defense
51%
6.19
Takedown avg.
0.20
59%
Takedown accuracy
40%
100%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
1.30

Trajectory

Andreas GustafssonBen Saunders
1600165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
2 (17%)
Submission
6 (26%)
2 (17%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreas Gustafsson71%
Ben Saunders 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreas Gustafsson a 71% favorite over Ben Saunders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ben Saunders 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.