Andreas Gustafsson vs Khaos Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record16-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamMurcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Khaos Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Andreas Gustafsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1683
If they lose-14→ 1651
If they win+14→ 1719
If they lose-18→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andreas GustafssonKhaos Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khaos Williams81%
Andreas Gustafsson 19%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Khaos Williams a 81% favorite over Andreas Gustafsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Khaos Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1665, a 40-point edge.
Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Khaos Williams 63%.
Khaos Williams carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.