Andreas Gustafsson vs Khaos Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamMurcielago MMA
What's at stake
Khaos Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Andreas Gustafsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1680
If they lose-13→ 1648
If they win+13→ 1733
If they lose-19→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andreas GustafssonKhaos Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khaos Williams71%
Andreas Gustafsson 29%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Khaos Williams a 71% favorite over Andreas Gustafsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Khaos Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1661, a 59-point edge.
Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Khaos Williams 63%.
Khaos Williams carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.