Andreas Gustafsson vs Marin Vetrila
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"Reach-
185 lbsWeight162 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
If they win+24→ 1694
If they lose-24→ 1646
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andreas GustafssonMarin Vetrila
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marin Vetrila66%
Andreas Gustafsson 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marin Vetrila a 66% favorite over Andreas Gustafsson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1670), separated by just 3 points.
Marin Vetrila enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Marin Vetrila 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.