Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Gustafsson vs Max Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record20-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
73"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Vasteras Fight ClubTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas GustafssonNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.82
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
72%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
46%
Strike defense
58%
6.19
Takedown avg.
1.28
59%
Takedown accuracy
41%
100%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Andreas GustafssonMax Griffin
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (17%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Andreas Gustafsson60%
Max Griffin 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andreas Gustafsson a 60% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Max Griffin's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andreas Gustafsson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.

Max Griffin carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.