Andreas Spang vs Augusto Sakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record17-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach77"
224 lbsWeight264 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andreas SpangAugusto Sakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Augusto Sakai73%
Andreas Spang 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Augusto Sakai a 73% favorite over Andreas Spang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.
Augusto Sakai enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andreas Spang finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Augusto Sakai 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.