Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Spang vs Mohammed Usman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record11-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach79"
224 lbsWeight237 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamWar Room Kickboxing & MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas SpangNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Mohammed UsmanNow 1615
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.56
TBD
Takedown accuracy
14%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andreas SpangMohammed Usman
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (33%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (33%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Mohammed Usman56%
Andreas Spang 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mohammed Usman a 56% favorite over Andreas Spang in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andreas Spang's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1615), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Spang finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mohammed Usman 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.