Combat Edge Intelligence

Andreas Spang vs Tsuyoshi Sudario

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record10-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
224 lbsWeight261 lbs
J-Sect MMATeamHi Rollers Entertainment

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andreas SpangNow 1616
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Tsuyoshi SudarioNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Andreas SpangTsuyoshi Sudario
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
9 (90%)
3 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Tsuyoshi Sudario72%
Andreas Spang 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tsuyoshi Sudario a 72% favorite over Andreas Spang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1617), separated by just 1 points.

Andreas Spang finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Sudario 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.