Andrei Arlovski vs Carlos Felipe
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record12-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
77"Reach75,0"
245 lbsWeight245 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLife MMA· 1594 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Andrei Arlovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Carlos Felipe carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1657
If they lose-13→ 1633
If they win+17→ 1633
If they lose-15→ 1601
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1653 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiCarlos Felipe
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlos Felipe62%
Andrei Arlovski 38%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlos Felipe a 62% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Arlovski's way (46%).
Andrei Arlovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1616, a 30-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Carlos Felipe 50%.
Andrei Arlovski and Carlos Felipe share 1 common opponent: Jake Collier.
Andrei Arlovski carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.