Andrei Arlovski vs Chase Sherman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record18-13-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
77"Reach78"
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Andrei Arlovski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1647
If they lose-14→ 1623
If they win+14→ 1601
If they lose-10→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiChase Sherman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Sherman70%
Andrei Arlovski 30%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Sherman a 70% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Arlovski's way (43%).
Andrei Arlovski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1587, a 50-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Chase Sherman 94%.
Andrei Arlovski and Chase Sherman share 3 common opponents: Waldo Cortes-Acosta, Jake Collier and Jared Vanderaa.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.