Andrei Arlovski vs Chris Barnett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record23-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'9"
77"Reach75"
245 lbsWeight268 lbs
American Top TeamTeamXFC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1649
If they lose-12→ 1625
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiChris Barnett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Barnett70%
Andrei Arlovski 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Barnett a 70% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Andrei Arlovski's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1633), separated by just 4 points.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Chris Barnett 78%.
Andrei Arlovski and Chris Barnett share 2 common opponents: Martin Buday and Jake Collier.
Andrei Arlovski carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.