Andrei Arlovski vs Martin Buday
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
77"Reach77"
245 lbsWeight265 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSpartakus Fight Gym
What's at stake
Martin Buday is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627
If they win+13→ 1713
If they lose-19→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiMartin Buday
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Buday92%
Andrei Arlovski 8%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 92% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Martin Buday holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1637, a 63-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.
Andrei Arlovski and Martin Buday share 1 common opponent: Jake Collier.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.