Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Tanner Boser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tanner Boser
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Tanner Boser

“The Bulldozer”

22-11-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1656Good

Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record22-11-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
77"Reach75"
245 lbsWeight203 lbs
American Top TeamTeamShaved Bears MMA

What's at stake

Tanner Boser is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1637
If they win+13→ 1650
If they lose-11→ 1626
Tanner BoserNow 1656
If they win+11→ 1667
If they lose-13→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
4.70
46%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.75
57%
Strike defense
58%
0.37
Takedown avg.
0
35%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
63%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiTanner Boser
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
3 (9%)
Submission
2 (9%)
14 (41%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Tanner Boser73%
Andrei Arlovski 27%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Tanner Boser a 73% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Tanner Boser holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1656 to 1637, a 19-point edge.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Tanner Boser 64%.

Andrei Arlovski carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.