Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrei Arlovski vs Walt Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Walt Harris
us

Walt Harris

“The Big Ticket”

13-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

34-24-0Record13-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
77"Reach77,0"
245 lbsWeight264 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSBG Alabama

What's at stake

Walt Harris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrei ArlovskiNow 1637
If they win+13→ 1650
If they lose-11→ 1626
Walt HarrisNow 1653
If they win+15→ 1668
If they lose-17→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.82
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
46%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
57%
Strike defense
55%
0.37
Takedown avg.
0.29
35%
Takedown accuracy
29%
77%
Takedown defense
70%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Andrei ArlovskiWalt Harris
16501700201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

17 (50%)
KO/TKO
13 (100%)
3 (9%)
Submission
0 (0%)
14 (41%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Walt Harris70%
Andrei Arlovski 30%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Walt Harris a 70% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Walt Harris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1637, a 16-point edge.

Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Walt Harris 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.