Andrei Fabbi vs Federico Rotoni
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Federico Rotoni64%
Andrei Fabbi 36%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Federico Rotoni a 64% favorite over Andrei Fabbi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Federico Rotoni holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1473, a 51-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record1-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeightTBD
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
Federico Rotoni is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Andrei Fabbi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1500
If they lose-21→ 1452
If they win+21→ 1545
If they lose-27→ 1497
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei FabbiFederico Rotoni