Andrei Semenov vs Ateba Gautier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-9-2Record11-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'4"
TBDReach81"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
TeamManchester Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrei SemenovAteba Gautier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ateba Gautier65%
Andrei Semenov 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ateba Gautier a 65% favorite over Andrei Semenov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1700), separated by just 2 points.
Andrei Semenov enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Andrei Semenov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Ateba Gautier 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.