Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrej Kalašnik vs Devin Smyth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Devin Smyth
us

Devin Smyth

“The Prodigy”

10-4-0WelterweightLFA

1597Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record10-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1621 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMurcielago MMA· 1682 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrej KalašnikNow 1596
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Devin SmythNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
68%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.73
TBD
Strike defense
25%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4
TBD
Takedown accuracy
27%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrej KalašnikDevin Smyth
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (8%)
Submission
5 (50%)
6 (46%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Devin Smyth58%
Andrej Kalašnik 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Devin Smyth a 58% favorite over Andrej Kalašnik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.

Devin Smyth enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Devin Smyth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.