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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrej Kalašnik vs Garreth McLellan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record13-7-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach72,0"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jetsaam Gym Brno· 1619 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamFightFit Militia

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrej KalašnikNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Garreth McLellanNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
Not available
Strike accuracy
54%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.15
Not available
Takedown accuracy
22%
Not available
Takedown defense
35%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Andrej KalašnikGarreth McLellan
16002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (46%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
1 (8%)
Submission
9 (69%)
6 (46%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Andrej Kalašnik56%
Garreth McLellan 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Andrej Kalašnik a 56% favorite over Garreth McLellan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1584), separated by just 2 points.

Andrej Kalašnik enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Garreth McLellan enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Andrej Kalašnik finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Garreth McLellan 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.