Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrew Craig vs Lyman Good

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lyman Good
us

Lyman Good

“Cyborg”

21-6-0WelterweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record21-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team TookeTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Lyman Good is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Andrew Craig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Andrew CraigNow 1631
If they win+20→ 1651
If they lose-12→ 1619
Lyman GoodNow 1731
If they win+9→ 1740
If they lose-15→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.01
51%
Strike defense
63%
0.53
Takedown avg.
0.27
38%
Takedown accuracy
100%
72%
Takedown defense
75%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrew CraigLyman Good
1650170017502014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
11 (52%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (14%)
5 (56%)
Decision
7 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Lyman Good75%
Andrew Craig 25%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Lyman Good a 75% favorite over Andrew Craig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Lyman Good holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1631, a 100-point edge.

Andrew Craig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Andrew Craig finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Lyman Good 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.