Andrzej Grzebyk vs Laïd Zerhouni
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Andrzej Grzebyk71%
Laïd Zerhouni 29%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrzej Grzebyk a 71% favorite over Laïd Zerhouni in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Andrzej Grzebyk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1576, a 73-point edge.
Laïd Zerhouni enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Andrzej Grzebyk finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Laïd Zerhouni 93%.
Andrzej Grzebyk carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-9-0Record15-11-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'8"
76"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Ralph Gracie RzeszowTeamLa Bonne Ecole· 1566 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Andrzej Grzebyk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Laïd Zerhouni carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1635
If they win+14→ 1590
If they lose-10→ 1566
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrzej GrzebykLaïd Zerhouni