Combat Edge Intelligence

André Lima vs Igor Severino

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67″Reach69"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamChute Boxe Joao Emilio

What's at stake

André Lima is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Igor Severino carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

André LimaNow 1718
If they win+14→ 1732
If they lose-18→ 1700
Igor SeverinoNow 1679
If they win+18→ 1697
If they lose-14→ 1665

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.06
Sig. strikes / min
7.17
60%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
58%
Strike defense
48%
1.36
Takedown avg.
9.69
75%
Takedown accuracy
71%
75%
Takedown defense
50%
1.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

André LimaIgor Severino
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (10%)
Submission
4 (40%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting André Lima and Igor Severino within a point of even.

André Lima holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1679, a 39-point edge.

Igor Severino enters on a 2-fight win streak.

André Lima finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Igor Severino 90%.

Igor Severino carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.