Combat Edge Intelligence

André Lima vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-1-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67″Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team Lucas MineiroTeamEagles MMA· 1812 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

André LimaNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1740
If they win+16→ 1756
If they lose-16→ 1724

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
57%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.11
Takedown avg.
2.94
10%
Takedown accuracy
39%
76%
Takedown defense
62%
0.93
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

André LimaTagir Ulanbekov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
2 (18%)
Submission
8 (47%)
4 (36%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

André Lima54%
Tagir Ulanbekov 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes André Lima a 54% favorite over Tagir Ulanbekov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tagir Ulanbekov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1740), separated by just 6 points.

André Lima finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Tagir Ulanbekov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.